This article appeared as part of the Daily Sensemaker newsletter – one story a day to make sense of the world. To receive it in your inbox, featuring content exclusive to the newsletter, sign up for free here.
New forecasts indicate that the Iran war will have a lasting impact on the British economy, even if it ends in short order. The National Institute of Economic and Social Research predicts growth of 0.9% this year and 1% in 2027, compared to forecasts of 1.4% and 1.3% made in February. Inflation had been expected to hit the Bank of England’s target of 2% in spring. Now it is expected to climb to 4.1%. These are grim figures for a Labour government that has put growth at the centre of its policy platform. The IMF says the conflict will do more damage to the UK than any other major economy due to its reliance on energy imports.
Newsletters
Choose the newsletters you want to receive
View more
For information about how The Observer protects your data, read our Privacy Policy
